IHS automoTIve announced that 20 million autonomous vehicles will be on the road in 2035, of which China will be the largest single market. IHS said that the United States will lead the world in the early development and application of autonomous vehicles, and Japan will follow suit as it is stepping up its deployment of the 2020 Tokyo Spring Olympics.
Egil Juliussen, research director of the research company, pointed out that "the sales of self-driving cars will reach nearly 600,000 vehicles worldwide in 2025. The new round of forecasts shows that since autonomous vehicles will be widely used in major global auto markets, The annual sales of self-driving cars will increase by 43% during the decade from 2035 to 2035."
IHS automoTIve's forecast has been greatly improved compared to the previous one, which attributed the difference between the predicted values ​​to the increasing investment in autopilot technology by car companies, component suppliers and technology companies, and National institutions have strengthened their efforts in environmental supervision.
It is recently predicted that the number of new mobile modes of travel, new technology development and ongoing R&D projects will be taken into account. IHS has comprehensively considered the R&D plans of automakers and component suppliers and car sharing companies, the plans of technology companies, and other companies' increased investment in mobile travel.
IHS predicts that there will be thousands of self-driving cars in the United States in 2020, and this number will increase to nearly 4.5 million by 2035. At the same time, China will have 5.7 million self-driving cars on the road, becoming the largest single market for self-driving cars. . Consumer demand for new technologies is strong, and regulators believe that autonomous vehicles may address safety and environmental issues, and these factors will drive research and development of related technologies and increase sales.
In Western Europe, 3 million autonomous vehicles will be on the road in 2035, while there are relatively few in Eastern Europe, 1.2 million; in the Middle East and Africa, there will be 1 million vehicles equipped with autonomous driving technology; 1.2 million in Japan and South Korea. The self-driving car will be on the road.
There will be some setbacks in the process of popularizing autonomous vehicles on the road, including software reliability and network security. The above two problems will be gradually solved with the improvement of technology and the attention of the industry. Another key issue is that there is no uniform and mature legal and regulatory policy for autonomous vehicles in various markets. This has inhibited car companies from introducing autopilots to the public to a certain extent. More technical issues, autopilot guides and rules of law are obstacles that are more difficult to overcome.
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