In the past five years, the development of China's new energy automotive industry has attracted worldwide attention. According to relevant persons from the General Department of the National Bureau of Statistics, “China’s market size for new energy vehicles, smart phones, industrial robots, etc. is already at the top of the world,†under the influence of a series of government encouragement and promotion policies, “the development momentum is good and the scale is constant. "Bigger", China's new energy vehicle sales in 2016 ranked first in the world.
Global leader in industry scale
Since the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, China's new energy vehicle market has experienced a rapid growth process. From 2011 to 2016, the output has grown from less than 5,000 to 510,000, and the number of possessions has increased from 10,000 to 1 million, for five years. Production and sales volume has increased by 100 times, accounting for half of the global total, and it is in a leading position in the world. Ouyang Minggao, executive vice president of the China Electric Vehicles Centennial Association, said at a summit forum recently that there has been an irreversible turning point in the development of China's new energy auto industry. The lead-in period has basically ended and it is now entering a growth period. "China's new energy automotive industry has experienced the brewing period from the beginning of the Olympic demonstration and the introduction of the "Ten Thousand Vehicles" demonstration starting in 2010. Now I think that it has entered a growth period because sales of new energy vehicles in China have exceeded sales. The total car sales volume was 1.5%, which was more than 1.8% in 2016. This year it is expected that the sales volume will continue to grow. I estimate it should be around 700,000 vehicles, said Ouyang Ming.
According to the latest forecast of the China Association of Automotive Engineers “Energy and New Energy Technology Roadmap,†China’s 2030 energy production and sales of new energy vehicles will reach 40% of total vehicle sales, which is approximately 15 million vehicles; in 2025, it will reach 8 million vehicles. In 2020, it will reach 2 million vehicles. Ouyang Minggao believes that the production and sales volume of new energy vehicles will reach a high-speed growth period after reaching 2 million vehicles.
Increased competitiveness of enterprises
According to relevant data, China’s new energy passenger vehicle companies have entered the world’s top ten in terms of sales of new energy passenger vehicles, and the world’s leading technological level of new energy buses has been sold to more than 30 countries and more than 100 cities around the world. In the field of power batteries, drive motors, battery materials and other fields emerged a number of globally renowned suppliers. At present, the major car companies have designated new energy vehicles as an important part of the development of their respective automobile industries, and they have occupied a considerable proportion of both the models and the output.
Based on the three major bases, Beiqi New Energy plans to realize the annual production and sales of 500,000 new energy vehicles during the “Thirteenth Five-Year Plan†period, forming a production capacity of more than 800,000 vehicles. Changan, Geely, and Dongfeng will also increase their investment in new energy vehicle projects. Among them, Changan Automobile plans to invest 18 billion yuan in two major technology platforms: pure electric vehicles and hybrid vehicles. The cumulative sales of new energy vehicles in 2020 will reach 40. Million; Geely Automobile plans to achieve new energy vehicles in the 2020 total sales of more than 90%. Dongfeng Motor will achieve a market share of 15% to 18% by 2020, and the sales of new energy vehicles will reach 300,000. GAC Group and SAIC Group plan to achieve 200,000 and 600,000 new energy vehicle production and sales targets by 2020.
Significant improvement in innovation
In the past five years, China's new energy industry has significantly improved its ability to innovate. The research and development of basic common technologies and core key technologies continued to advance, and important breakthroughs were made in the integration of key components and vehicle control. Mainstream models have greatly improved their dynamics, economy, and safety, and have basically kept pace with the international advanced level. On July 4th, Vice Premier Ma Kai of the State Council pointed out when studying the development of new energy automobile industry in Beijing that the development of new energy industry must also focus on "four innovations": First, battery innovation. Innovate the R&D model and increase R&D efforts to ensure that by 2020, the goal of achieving a monomer 350 and system 260 watt-hours/kg will be achieved. Accelerate the development of new system batteries and fuel cells. The second is charging innovation. Aiming at standardization, networking, intelligence and high power, accelerate the development of advanced charging technology. Strengthen the construction of facilities, innovate business models, and solve the problem of insufficient number of charging piles, transformation of old residential areas, and “incompatibility of charging interfaces of vehicle pilesâ€. Third, vehicle innovation. Improve the level of forward design and development, vehicle weight reduction and product intelligence, and accelerate the cultivation of internationally renowned brands for new energy vehicles. The fourth is mechanism innovation. Pay close attention to the follow-up policy after the subsidy withdrawal and the use of support policies, etc., to eliminate local protection and create a good environment for the sustainable and healthy development of new energy vehicles.
Power battery industrialization has made important progress
The power battery is the heart of the electric vehicle and is the key to the development of the new energy automotive industry. According to a survey report released by the China Electric Vehicles Hundred Persons Association, after years of development, China's power battery industry has made considerable progress. The technical development of China's power batteries has undergone three five-year plans. The "10th Five-Year Plan" is a lithium manganate battery, the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" is a lithium iron phosphate battery, and the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" is a ternary battery. It is a new generation of high-energy lithium-ion battery. The specific energy of the system is increasing year by year, and the cost of the system is decreasing year by year. China's power batteries have almost doubled in energy consumption over the past five years, and their costs have more than doubled. The industry has made major breakthroughs. For example, of the top 10 new energy companies in the world in 2015, four were Chinese companies; In 2016, six companies entered the top ten in the world.
Charging infrastructure construction is steadily advancing
The perfection of charging infrastructure construction is an important factor affecting the promotion of new energy vehicles. It is worth mentioning that at present public infrastructure, internal units, residential communities, and highway charging infrastructure have been fully promoted. As of the end of April this year, 171,000 public charging piles have been built nationwide, an increase of 1.2 times from the same period of last year. Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen Cities such as the establishment of large-scale charging service network.
Although China's new energy industry has achieved certain results, there are still some deficiencies. Lu Guochun, deputy director of the Department of Equipment Industry of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, said that the foundation for the development of China's new energy automotive industry is not solid, and the core technology of power battery has not made a fundamental breakthrough. The next generation technology has not formed a fundamental layout, and the investment in industrial R&D of the enterprise is relatively insufficient. The infrastructure construction has lagged behind, and the promotion and application between regions has not been balanced enough. The hidden dangers in security have not yet been eliminated. These are many contradictions and problems that have arisen in the course of development. We must proceed from the overall long-term perspective, effectively strengthen unified planning, strengthen policy convergence, and strengthen Collaboration and cooperation to promote and solve them.
Ma Kai emphasized that at present, the development of new energy vehicles in China is still at a critical stage of overrunning and overcoming difficulties. We must always adhere to the national strategy for the development of new energy vehicles and continue to follow the principle of “market-driven, innovation-driven, key breakthroughs, and coordinated development.†The requirements, in making concerted efforts to make greater progress in innovation.
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